Insurance death-claims over Apr-Sep 2021 are 40% above trend, reflecting Delta wave severity. If all-cause mortality follows a similar trend, this implies ~1.6 million excess deaths during 2nd wave.
Total deaths in the country are around 96.6 lakhs. for half year - 48-50lakh. If excess deaths hold out to be 40% for the whole country - we have 20lakh or 2mn for the whole country.
Now, this 40% death rate for the insured might be lower than the uninsured for instance. Hence, 2-2.5 mn excess deaths.
As per Gov data , COVID deaths in this time frame are merely a small fraction of this estimated 16 lakhs all cause mortality estimated no's.
Then which spooky reason caused this certain spike in excess deaths which also flattened later ??
Total deaths in the country are around 96.6 lakhs. for half year - 48-50lakh. If excess deaths hold out to be 40% for the whole country - we have 20lakh or 2mn for the whole country.
Now, this 40% death rate for the insured might be lower than the uninsured for instance. Hence, 2-2.5 mn excess deaths.