Inversely correlated
· Frequency of CNBC appearance, and utility of opinion
· Use of phrase ‘confidence capital’, and actual levels of either confidence or capital
· Tendency to flaunt best investment, and delivered IRR net of all fees
· Slickness of presentation, and quality of company
· Precision of forward guidance, and trustworthiness of management
· Vehemence of advice to practitioners, and Prof’s personal investing experience/outcomes
· Propensity to call oneself Warren Buffet of someplace, and resemblance to original
Positively correlated
· Omaha pilgrimage memorabilia on desk, and actual portfolio turnover
· Extent of overvaluation, and year of forward PE used as justification
· Anonymity of rumoured investor, and dodginess of bank needing money
· Going to sleep early, and odds of cliff-hanger finish to IPL match
· Fanciness of restaurant, and dissatisfaction with pani puri
· Spike in profits in year prior to IPO, and dip in profits the year after
· Level of cluelessness, and use of cliches like stockpicker’s market, dip your toes, buy on dips
· Extent of fund manager talking his book, and chance of aforementioned book blowing up
These are more accurate correlations than the ones offered in modern finance theory
Waited 10 days for this and was worth it. XD