Isn't a more fundamental problem lack of representativeness/lack of skin in the game for the people who are likely to get affected by the decision ? Reminds me of the curmudgeonly uncle who shoo-ed us from playing cricket in a play ground and finally got a fence erected near his house as our shrill shrieks intruded on his post lunch siesta even after we kept up our pinky promise of "silent" cricket.
Maybe the issue is that the framework is not really good enough/refined to be useful? It's like when the weather predicting software says sunny days ahead, but it's obviously raining when you step outside.
Completely agree about the inequity of not reopening the economy and singling out sectors (why is an "IT office" more important than a "restaurant"??). Totally arbitrary (and likely populist).
Wonder what the better predictors would be? Especially given that Wave II is significantly 'faster spreading' than Wave I. 🤷🏻♂️
Isn't a more fundamental problem lack of representativeness/lack of skin in the game for the people who are likely to get affected by the decision ? Reminds me of the curmudgeonly uncle who shoo-ed us from playing cricket in a play ground and finally got a fence erected near his house as our shrill shrieks intruded on his post lunch siesta even after we kept up our pinky promise of "silent" cricket.
Maybe the issue is that the framework is not really good enough/refined to be useful? It's like when the weather predicting software says sunny days ahead, but it's obviously raining when you step outside.
Completely agree about the inequity of not reopening the economy and singling out sectors (why is an "IT office" more important than a "restaurant"??). Totally arbitrary (and likely populist).
Wonder what the better predictors would be? Especially given that Wave II is significantly 'faster spreading' than Wave I. 🤷🏻♂️